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MAP Model Says: 51 Million NAND Wafers by 2016

Phoenix, Arizona September 19, 2012 - Semico's Market Analysis and Planning (MAP) Model accounts for ~85% of the semiconductor market, and is one of our most popular services that contributes to Semico's overall forecast. Our analysts update the Model throughout the year, providing historical data from 2000 and forecasts into 2016.

One of the benefits of the MAP Model is how it syncs up with Joanne Itow's Wafer Demand Database and shows the progression of wafers via technology nodes. If we take a look at our standard forecast pull (2007 - 2016) we see that NAND wafer technology advances from 130nm to 10nm, according to Mb size. The MAP Model tracks NAND sizes between 120Mb (out of production after 2007) to 256Gb (distribution begins in 2014).

So what does this mean for you?
1. You can track the migration of technology nodes for wafer demand. For example, our MAP Model is showing total NAND wafer demand in 2011 peaked at the 32Gb chip processed at 45nm. In 2012 NAND wafer demand will peak at the 64Gb chip processed at 22nm. You can see this progression in an easy-to-download excel sheet.
2. You can track this migration via end-use technology. So if your technology, like NAND, relies heavily on one product segment, like cell phones, you can track how NAND is advancing within that end-use market.
Our MAP Model takes both the top-down and bottom-up approaches and combines them into one customizable service for analyzing Wafer Demand, Semiconductor Content, Bill of Materials, Total Available Market, End-Use Shipments, and ASPs in over 30 different markets including:

Computing: Desktop PCs, Netbooks, Notebook PCs, Tablet PCs, Entry-Level Servers, Mid-Range & High-End Servers, Workstations, NAS Servers

Consumer: Ereaders, Portable Multimedia Players, Digital Photo Frames, Digital Cameras, Digital Video Cameras, Digital Video Players. Digital Video Recorders, Blu-ray Players, Blu-ray Recorders, Set Top Boxes, Satellite Radios, Video Game Consoles, Handheld Consoles, DTVs, GPS, MP3 Players

Wireless Communications: Cellular Infrastructure, WiMax Base Stations, WiMax CPE, High-end Cell Phones, Mid-range Cell Phones, Low-end Cell phones

Wired Communications: xDSL Modems, Cable Modems, Routers, VoIP PBX

Be aware of future trends in the supply chain by signing up for a free demo of the MAP Model with one of our analysts.

For more information, contact:

Rick Vogelei, Business Development Executive
Phone: (480) 435-8564

About Semico
We are a semiconductor marketing & consulting research company located in Phoenix, Arizona. Semico was founded in 1994 by a group of semiconductor industry experts. We have improved the validity of semiconductor product forecasts via technology roadmaps in end-use markets. Semico offers custom consulting, portfolio packages, individual market research studies and premier industry conferences.

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