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March 2008

DRAM Capacity: Return of Boom and Bust?

Phoenix, Arizona March 27, 2008 - The combined Supply and Demand of DRAM and NAND drive the prices for both. Semico introduces Memory Reports that highlight the impact of the new relationship between DRAM and NAND supply and demand.

Many DRAM manufacturers were initially attracted to NAND technology because of the similarities of NAND and DRAM manufacturing processes. More than 50% of total Memory revenue is from companies participating in both DRAM and NAND markets. Of the $58B total 2007 memory revenue, $45B was contributed by DRAM and NAND.

Semico: Semiconductor Intellectual Property: Continuing on the Path to Growth

The 3rd Party Semiconductor Intellectual Property (SIP) market has continued to increase its importance to designers for System-on-a-Chip (SoC) through its ability to help reduce the design time and overall costs for these complex silicon solutions.  The growth experienced in 2007 will continue during the next five years as the 2007 -2012 CAGR is forecasted to exceed 18% and the SIP market to surpass $5,500 million in 2012.

One way to segment SIP is into 3rd Party Developed IP and Internally Developed IP.  “When we look at SIP as a function of total silicon costs, 3rd Party Developed IP has decreased dramatically and now represents less than 5% while Internally Developed IP is greater than 25% of silicon costs,” states Rich Wawrzyniak, Senior Analyst at Semico Research.  “To combat some of the Non-Recurring Engineering (NRE) costs associated with SIP, it is likely the market will see IDMs start to license their own internally developed, proprietary SIP to 3rd parties who are not direct customers of their silicon as a means of offsetting these new costs.”

Definitions

Semico MAP Model Glossary

MOS Logic

MPRs – Consumer

This category conforms to the SIA/WSTS Blue Book definition. It includes MOS ICs designed specifically for use in consumer equipment such as entertainment, radio, TV, VCR, personal or home appliance, camera, game, etc. The following sub-categories are broken out in the Semico MAP Model.

MPRs - Consumer, Audio/Video

About

This site contains two parts: Product reviews & the MAP Model database. The product reviews conducted by Semico Research include a broad range of products ranging from entertainment portables to desktops to routers. If you are looking for a specific device, please call. The MAP Model is a database for those who need data about the semiconductor industry. It gives a top down approach, and includes a regional forecast, a bill of materials, a list of ASPs for each device type, a total available market, wafer demand, as well as a tier 1/2 OEM listing. This list of products includes:

Semiconductor Intellectual Property: Continuing on the Path to Growth

Phoenix, Arizona March 25, 2008 - The 3rd Party Semiconductor Intellectual Property (SIP) market has continued to increase its importance to designers for System-on-a-Chip (SoC) through its ability to help reduce the design time and overall costs for these complex silicon solutions. The growth experienced in 2007 will continue during the next five years as the 2007 -2012 CAGR is forecasted to exceed 18% and the SIP market to surpass $5,500 million in 2012.

Taiwanese and Korean Memory Capacity

An interesting article appeared in the Korean Times this week that expressed concern over the continuing investments of Taiwanese memory manufacturers. As stated in the article, “While South Korean chip giants such as Samsung Electronics and Hynix Semiconductor have recently clashed over the issue of a ``technology transfer’’ to overseas rivals, Taiwan-based computer chipmakers are forming a united front to inject massive amounts of cash into new next-generation plants…Experts say their ongoing ``consolidation’’ moves will accelerate further as Taiwanese manufacturers, South Korea’s biggest competitors in memory chips, seek to sharpen their technology competitiveness…The South Korean government needs to draw a new blueprint for IT policies to help boost the competitiveness of local chipmakers,’’ the Samsung Economic Research Institute said in a report.”

The article continues, ``Even though DRAM prices plunge, the Taiwanese firms expect demand to remain steady. That’s why they decided to invest,’’ the source added. Experts say Taiwanese chipmakers have gained cost competitiveness by utilizing low-cost manufacturing bases, vertical integration and mass production systems.”

Atom: A Building Block For Intel

The much anticipated MPU designs from Intel, Silverthorne and Diamondville, have been announced by Intel. The MPU will be marketed under the brand name Atom. The MPU is a single core 80x86. Atom is a new low-power microarchitecture. It represents a new family of processors designed from the ground-up for low-power and performance and is manufactured on 45nm process.

Intel is targeting a different class of processing from its mainstream processors, Core 2 Duo. Atom and its accompanying chipset are relatively lower performance than Core 2 Duo but power consumption is considerably lower as well. Atom is not intended to compete with Core 2 Duo.

You may have heard the term Mobile Internet Device (MID) from Intel. This is not a new market. It is a new marketing term Intel has coined. It encompasses many of the current mobile devices on the market. If it is portable, has wireless communication, computing features and fits in your pocket it is an MID. This would include smart phones, the iphone, Personal Media Players (PMP) with wireless, GPS with internet connectivity, etc. The screen size would be 4.5 in to 6 in. A yet to emerge ultra-mobile PC (UMPC) has a screen size of 5 in to 7 in. Most would run Linux, but are also capable of running Windows. Essentially this is the market for convergence devices we have been discussing for several years. Intel will begin shipping Intel Atom processors soon, with MIDs to start appearing in Q2 2008.

Dr. John E. Kelly III, IBM Senior VP, Named 2008 Semico Bellwether Award Recipient

Phoenix, Arizona March 17, 2008

Semico Research Corporation, a leading semiconductor market research and analysis firm, announced today that Dr. John E. Kelly III, IBM Vice President and Director of Research, is the 2008 recipient of the distinguished Semico Bellwether Award for his work in implementing the Common Platform processing technology and successfully shepherding the cooperation and integration of the Common Platform across three mega-corporations – IBM (NYSE:IBM), Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing (NASDAQ:CHRT), and Samsung Electronics.

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